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Kamala Harris Suffers Third Pennsylvania Polling Blow In A Week

by Summer August 20, 2024 0 comments

By: Summer

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Vice President Kamala Harris has faced another setback in the polls, with three surveys in one week indicating she is trailing former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania.

Despite the setbacks, FiveThirtyEight’s poll aggregator still shows Harris, on average, ahead of Trump in the state, with 46.2 percent to the former president’s 44.9 percent.

Meanwhile, two polls conducted in the past week have shown Harris leading her opponent in the state. One, a Focaldata poll conducted between August 6 and 16, showed the VP a point ahead of Trump (48 percent to 47 percent) among likely voters when third-party candidates were added to the mix.

Among registered voters, Harris was 3 points ahead of Trump when third-party candidates were included, at 49 percent to his 46 percent. However, the two candidates were tied on 50 percent each in a head-to-head matchup.

In another Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll, conducted between August 12 and 15, Harris was 2 points ahead, on 46 percent to Trump’s 44 percent among 825 likely voters when third-party candidates were included. In an earlier poll by the same company, conducted between July 31 and August 3, Trump led Harris by 2 points.

The Cygnal survey showed that when third-party candidates were included, Trump led Harris by 1 point, on 44 percent to her 43 percent.

Pennsylvania was one of a handful of battleground states that flipped to the Democrats in 2020 after supporting Trump in 2016. The state generally plays a vital role in the outcome of presidential elections, as both the Democratic and Republican parties enjoy similar levels of support.

Before Harris became the Democratic Party nominee, a majority of polling coming out of the state showed that Trump was in the lead, ahead of President Joe Biden by between 2 and 7 points, according to FiveThirtyEight.

However, after Biden announced he was ending his re-election campaign and endorsed the vice president, Trump’s lead in the polls largely vanished, with Harris overtaking him.

Although Harris is still, on average, leading Trump in Pennsylvania, FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker shows her lead over her opponent is narrowing, decreasing from 2.3 points on August 15 a week ago to 1.3 points now.

Nationally, her lead has remained steady in the past week, with the Vice President 2.9 points ahead of Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker.

Source: https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-pennsylvania-dnc-week-1941598