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New Poll Shows Harris’s Lead Over Trump Cut In Half In Must-Win Swing State

by Summer August 29, 2024 0 comments

By: Summer

Excitement over the vice president taking over the Democratic Party ticket may have softened, though other polling shows the lead growing in the North Star state.

One new survey shows that Donald Trump has halved Kamala Harris’s lead in Minnesota despite the state’s Governor, Tim Walz, joining the Democratic ticket.

The most recent poll by SurveyUSA, conducted in conjunction with local TV networks KTSP, KAAL, and WDIO, found that Harris is now leading Trump 48 percent to 43 percent in the must-win swing state.

Though still healthy, her lead has shrunk to five percentage points in the space of a month, having led 50 percent to 40 percent in a poll conducted between July 23 and 25.

The new poll surveyed 635 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

“I think you see in the national polls that Kamala Harris is getting sort of a post-convention bump,” Brian McClung, communications director for former Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty, said in a statement.

“So the opposite has occurred in your SurveyUSA poll, but I think this is where we expect the race to be.”

Former Minnesota DFL Party Chair Mike Erlandson agreed, saying Harris’s 10-point lead last month might have been the result of excitement about a shake-up in the race, with President Joe Biden dropping out.

“She’s in good shape in Minnesota, and frankly, the Democratic and Republican conventions happening, adding Tim Walz to the ballot, everybody’s paying attention now, right? So if I was those guys, I’d be excited to be up by five points in Minnesota.”

The poll showed Harris leading among women (55 to 37 percent), independents (42 to 35 percent), and voters from urban areas (57 to 34 percent) and suburban areas (53 to 39 percent).

Trump, meanwhile, leads among men (48 to 42 percent) and voters in rural areas (54 to 37 percent).

However, surveys conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies and The Telegraph at the beginning, middle, and end of August show the opposite trend to the SurveyUSA poll.

They show Harris’s lead growing across the state from five percentage points to seven and then nine points by August 29.

Source: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/harris-trump-new-poll-minnesota-walz-b2605045.html